What if Assad wins?

10/12/2016 (Arabiya News – UAE by Azeem Ibrahim *): Civil wars are always long fought and bitter. And they are also inevitably great humanitarian disasters because civilians are always targeted in one way or another. That is why the prospect of ending a civil war would normally be welcome, especially a civil war as brutal and ruinous as the one in Syria. But unfortunately, if Assad does win, that may not necessarily be the beginning of the end of the humanitarian disaster. There are good reasons to fear that if Assad finally wins the conflict, that may be only the end of the beginning of the human tragedy. If Assad does prevail, his first priority will be to ensure that such an uprising can never happen again. That means making an example of everyone who opposed him. There is every reason to expect that the retribution will be just as brutal as the conflict itself…


*Azeem Ibrahim is Senior Fellow at the Centre for Global Policy and Adj Research Professor at the Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College.




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